IS INDIAN STOCK MARKET BEING MANIPULATED?

“The present slide of Indian stock market is due to global cues”, the market pundits are saying. By the very word “global cues” they are hinting to the “recession” of North American economy. All the major markets, including the robust emerging markets are showing weakness, and many are even hinting that the bears are taking over from the bulls.

To give a loose definition of recession: it is a contraction of economic activities spreading more than just a few months and becomes evident within a few months from the onset of it. The complex web of financial world which connects the world’s market makes it difficult to predict how the US recession will affect a particular market. So, generally many theories fly around. It is easier to press the panic button by one and for all. We have seen that rumors gain more ground than in normal condition.

Now we will come to know the “theory of decoupling of economies” will prove its mantle, as is being professed by many economists. But it seems the pillars of market are developing cracks, and may be it will be too late to welcome the onset of so called “decoupling of economies”.

Not going to financial theories and jargons, we should remember that the small investors are bleeding and the loss is far greater for small investors as they are not equipped to deal with falling market.

I always had some hunch of suspecting about the manipulation of our market by some unscrupulous operators. This particular view is probably shared by most of the small investors. We all will welcome the Regulator SEBI to play their positive role in this kind of manipulation if there is any.

Recently I have come across an interesting blog, which I think those who have the lingering doubts on market manipulation should go through it. LINK.

Can we do anything more than keeping our finger crossed anticipating the rebound of our market after the Budget session of Parliament?

NORTH AMERICAN SLUMP AND TWO STOCKS OF MY FANCY

The news of economic slump or the recession in North American market is probably the most dreaded word in world economic order. No body can ignore the huge impact of North American Market though few may try to wish it away. The slide of today’s market is the knee-jerk reaction by the world stock market on the latest assessment of situation over there. The situation will remain grim for some more time and probably there will not be any positive trigger for some more time if we believe the pundits and fund houses.

The situation may not be as bad, the overseas fund especially the North American funds should come out as a result of the recession and it should come to Emerging Markets and a major share will come to Indian stock market.

Indian domestic market is also large enough to sustain of its own. Imagine the crores of consumers; they can drive the economy forward. Luckily we did not become an export dependent/oriented economy though we strived to become one.

Anyway let’s discuss one stock “YES BANK” which caught my fancy recently, though I was very much aware of it and kept in my radar for a long time. But somehow it did not follow it up.

The stock has high return on equity, high growth and zero NPLs. The unique business model of the Bank presents promises for future growth. Detailed report is available in this link.

Another stock is GMR Infra, market lowered premium on this stock after its announcement of overseas acquisition. I am bullish on this stock and I think it is a good buy below hundred and seventy buck with a horizon of one year minimum. The analysis of the stock is available from the same link above.

The last correction and the topsy-turvy-yo-yo have reconfirmed my belief in profit booking.